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Vulture’s Final 2024 Oscar Predictions in Every Category


Oppenheimer looks likely to win a bunch of trophies, but some major races are still up in the air.

This is a three-hour art film about nuclear physics that was also one of the biggest hits of the year, a morally rigorous drama that climaxed with a big-ass explosion, a Great Man biopic and a World War II movie and a feast for meme-addled teens. Coming back from earning millions of dollars for playing Iron Man isn’t quite as heart-tugging a narrative as those that powered past winners Troy Kotsur and Ke Huy Quan, but I suspect many Academy members can relate to Downey Jr.’s desire to reprioritize work he truly cares about. Since you can’t have Nolan’s vision without Hoyte van Hoytema’s expansive Imax cinematography, the Dutch-Swedish DP joins his Oppenheimer director in being earmarked for Oscar — especially as the film didn’t get nominated in Visual Effects, making this the category to reward the breathtaking Trinity Test sequence.

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