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This Could Be a $4 Billion Summer at the Box Office


Memorial Day weekend is poised to break records. And analysts say this summer’s movies could bring in Barbenheimer numbers.

According to box-office analysts, this year’s Memorial Day frame — featuring a theatrical showdown between Mission: Impossible — The Final Reckoning and Disney’s non-animated, “live-action” iteration of Lilo & Stitch — is poised to break attendance records. On the strength of a disparate and larger than normal slew of anticipated sequels ( M3GAN 2.0, Jurassic World Rebirth, Nobody 2, 28 Years Later), heritage IP ( Karate Kid: Legends, DC Studios chief James Gunn’s Superman, The Fantastic Four: First Steps), works by prestige directors (Wes Anderson’s The Phoenician Scheme, Darren Aronofsky’s Caught Stealing, newly anointed final-cut filmmaker Zach Cregger’s Weapons), and a few wild cards ( F1, Bring Her Back, Ari Aster’s Eddington), such an outcome would represent a reversion to a pre-pandemic mode of moviegoing that many had written off as financially extinct and culturally passé. But in an era of economic uncertainty — as President Trump’s whipsawing tariff policies buffet the stock market and economists push the panic button, placing the risk level for slipping into a global recession this year at high — factors above and beyond what Hollywood has on offer will also likely dictate this summer’s ticket-buying patterns.

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