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SAG/DGA Film Analysis: How The Snubs, Surprises, And Successes Affect The State Of Oscar Race
After the first two major guilds weighed in this morning, it is still very clear, as it has been for some time, that it is a ‘Barbenheimer’ world and we just live in it. Neither compone…
In fact I was not surprised at all by the DGA list which also included the DGA-beloved Martin Scorsese for Killers Of The Flower Moon, Yorgos Lanthimos for Poor Things, and Alexander Payne for The Holdovers, the latter benefitting from a particularly heavy presence on the Q&A and reception circuit this season and clearly building momentum. Like the DGA list, international favorites and Cannes Film Festival sensations Anatomy Of A Fall and The Zone Of Interest were AWOL at SAG, a particular slight for German star Sandra Huller, so great in both of them and whose name has been floated for a potential two acting Oscar nominations. The snub of Netflix’s May December by both DGA for Todd Haynes and especially SAG for its entire cast, notably Julianne Moore and Charles Melton who have been prominent at other precursor events, is a warning sign because the guilds are the groups that actually have voting members most in common with the Academy and these contests are the ones pundits follow most closely in predicting where the Oscar winds may be blowing.
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