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Our Final Guesses for the 2025 Oscar Nominations
This year’s Oscars class did not begin the season especially heralded, but on the precipice of the nominations, its reputation has turned around.
Considering the recent history of the Best Director category, the safest bet for his replacement is an international auteur whose film premiered at Cannes, and as luck would have it we’ve got two options: The Substance ’s Coralie Fargeat and All We Imagine Is Light ’s Payal Kapadia. Since India didn’t submit Light for International Feature, Kapadia’s bid has received a lot of attention as the only way to recognize her film, but I think the power of the Best Picture spotlight will ultimately pull it to Fargeat. But she’s got strong competition from Brazilian Fernanda Torres of I’m Still Here, who got a late boost with a surprise Golden Globe win, and Pamela Anderson of The Last Showgirl, whose comeback was potent enough to land a SAG nomination for the small-scale indie.
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