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Oscar Voters’ Guide: Which Golden Globe Winners Will Score Nominations?
Without being influenced by the Golden Globe winners, here’s Variety's guess as to where the Oscar race seems to stand.
Rounding out best picture is likely to be epic sequels (“Gladiator II,” “Dune: Part Two”) and true stories (“A Complete Unknown,” “Nickel Boys,” “September 5”) along with films from acclaimed directors (“Blitz,” “Hard Truths”) and a few indie wildcards (“The Substance,” “A Real Pain”) that have done well on the shortlists. Others it would be wise not to bet against: Amy Adams (“Nightbitch”), Saoirse Ronan (“The Outrun”), Golden Globe winner Fernanda Torres (“I’m Still Here”) and Pamela Anderson (“The Last Showgirl”). The race is currently perceived to be between Ariana Grande in “Wicked” and Zoe Saldaña in “Emilia Pérez,” but other potential nominees include Saldaña’s co-star Selena Gomez, and Monica Barbaro and Elle Fanning as the women in Bob Dylan’s life in the musical biopic “A Complete Unknown.” Even Danielle Deadwyler has a pivotal musical scene in “The Piano Lesson.” Likely to earn her first Oscar nomination is the quietly powerful Isabella Rossellini in “Conclave.” Other potential nominees: Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor in “Nickel Boys,” Felicity Jones in “The Brutalist,” Margaret Qualley in “The Substance” and Saoirse Ronan in “Blitz.”
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