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Oscar Futures: Who Will Be Our Nomination-Morning Surprise?


Which less-heralded contenders will snag a spot at Tuesday’s Oscar nominations?

You can imagine what the vibe on the internet will be like if Greta Gerwig doesn’t get a Best Director nomination, so gird your loins: There is a chance this branch will join last year’s nominee Ruben Östlund in considering Barbie less a feat of art than of marketing. The close of Oscar voting brought warning sirens from Clayton Davis and Mark Harris that Gerwig might miss, and the summer blockbuster’s underperformance at BAFTA, where it was left out of Best Director and Best Film, suggests there is indeed cause for concern. While the moment did underscore his regular-guy bona fides, it was merely the cherry atop a pair of sweet Sundays for the Holdovers star, his Globes and Critics’ Choice wins sandwiching a Best Actor honor at the National Board of Review gala last week.

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