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Oscars: At 2025 Halfway Point, Only One Movie Released In Past Six Months Is Guaranteed A Best Picture Nomination – Which One Is It?


An analysis of the Oscar race for 2025 for far at the half way point with 'Sinners' far out in front for a best picture nomination and other noms.

Ryan Coogler ‘s Warner Bros. period film, Sinners, released on April 18 starring Michael B. Jordan, blending gangster and vampire genres about two twin brothers returning from Chicago’s gangland wars to their small southern hometown in search of a new life, is massively acclaimed by both critics (97% fresh on Rotten Tomatoes from 375 reviews) and audiences (on the RT popcorn meter at 96% postive). So it’s rare to open outside of the accepted Fall/Holiday window and score big with the Academy, but that has been changing a bit lately when you consider the success of 2022’s March release, Everything Everywhere All At Once which used the SXSW festival as a launch pad and wound up winning seven Oscars including Best Picture, Actress, Supporting Actor, Director, Screenplay one year later. And on that front another very small movie, like Victor’s a debut in the director’s chair for Sarah Friedman, also opened last weekend in limited arthouse release, Familiar To uch, and it could figure in Lead Actress for Broadway star Kathleen Chalfant’s astounding and devastating turn as a woman slipping into dementia and sent to live out her days in a nursing home.

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